Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.193771 0.220613 0.249427 0.282611 0.319725 0.359906 0.406651
2025-12-14 0.156193 0.191690 0.232360 0.282231 0.341558 0.409686 0.493646
2025-12-21 0.130159 0.170507 0.219405 0.282660 0.361917 0.457499 0.581008
2025-12-28 0.112318 0.155945 0.211512 0.286843 0.385569 0.509736 0.676774
2026-01-04 0.099542 0.145659 0.207076 0.293877 0.412231 0.566637 0.781719
2026-01-11 0.087789 0.134906 0.200306 0.296341 0.432097 0.615169 0.878282
2026-01-18 0.079039 0.127071 0.196320 0.301614 0.455387 0.669005 0.984698
2026-01-25 0.072527 0.121584 0.194829 0.309806 0.482768 0.729569 1.103542
2026-02-01 0.064726 0.113081 0.187801 0.308799 0.496115 0.770388 1.196068
2026-02-08 0.057956 0.105349 0.181026 0.307249 0.508013 0.809181 1.287176
2026-02-15 0.052126 0.098441 0.174763 0.305692 0.519350 0.847252 1.378706
2026-02-22 0.048591 0.095025 0.173767 0.312331 0.543721 0.906160 1.504673
2026-03-01 0.044043 0.089445 0.168847 0.312432 0.558167 0.951486 1.613925
2026-03-08 0.039992 0.084292 0.164141 0.312416 0.572277 0.996960 1.725880
2026-03-15 0.036505 0.079777 0.160094 0.313104 0.587447 1.044805 1.844055
2026-03-22 0.033937 0.076748 0.158428 0.317809 0.609709 1.105391 1.986128
2026-03-29 0.032003 0.074760 0.158490 0.325590 0.637763 1.177050 2.150155
2026-04-05 0.029658 0.071623 0.156016 0.328330 0.656765 1.234036 2.291909
2026-04-12 0.027867 0.069454 0.155217 0.334132 0.681622 1.302311 2.456231
2026-04-19 0.026546 0.068167 0.156051 0.343127 0.712895 1.383354 2.646537
2026-04-26 0.024383 0.064690 0.152022 0.342029 0.724772 1.430043 2.777955
2026-05-03 0.022377 0.061324 0.147891 0.340332 0.735245 1.474502 2.907191
2026-05-10 0.020561 0.058184 0.143934 0.338627 0.745470 1.518823 3.037975